Forecasting methods studies in Earned Value Analysis
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First thanks for your interests. Softwares that we use for Earned value Analysis use basic math and basic formulas for estimation. Its easy to see current estimtion methods are unreliable and useless. Ofcourse I know what is Eaned Value and what Earned Value is not. I was waiting different ideas but anyway thanks again
Ill inform you about progress.
EVM is definately a topic that you could cover in a doctorate thesis.
For instance, the application and suitability of its use in different industries is one area that could be explored, as is the testing of its limitations and possible areas for improvement, such as introducing earned schedule methodology.
However, the fact that someone is doing a doctorate on EV and doesnt know about things such as EAC and TCPI is suspect.
Isnt it still a guess multiplied by a guess ?
Even quantum physics and the theory of relativity are guesses based upon guesses.
I find it incredible that someone claiming to be
"studing Earned Value Management in my doctorate thesis ", should be asking such a basic question.
Further, since when did EV become such a science that it necessitates a doctorate thesis?.
Isnt it still a guess multiplied by a guess ?
On PMIs website (www.pmi.org) book on earned value analysis is available.
This is one of the best book I have ever read on earned value analysis. But, you need to purchase the same.
It covers basic elements, EVm performance Analysis and Forecasting, gives guidance for use of key EVM practices.
Cheers,
Raviraj A Bhedase
Hi ersin,
Take a look at this file:
http://www.planningengineers.org/publications/papers_download.aspx?id=8
Regards,
Karim
Here are some others to get you started
Im quite sure there will be heaps more offered soon
EV Formula
Schedule Variance Dollarised, SV$ = BCWP - BCWS
Schedule Variance Percent, SV% = SV$/BCW S* 100%
Cost Variance Dollarised, CV$ = BCWP – ACWP
Cost Variance Percent, CV% = CV$/BCWP * 100%
Percent Complete, %C = BCWP/BAC * 100
Schedule Performance Index, SPI = BCWP/BCWS
Cost Performance Index, CPI = BCWP/ACWP
To Complete Perf Index, TCPI = (BAC-BCWP) / (EAC-ACWP)
Estimate at Complete EAC = ACWP + ETC