Is PERT technique Probabilistic or deterministic?

Member for

18 years 6 months

David,



Use the Project Management Body of Knowledge as a primary source of information for your dissertation.



The two main ones are:



APM Body of Knowledge

PMI Body of Knowledge



Each have sections on Risk Management which you can use as a reference.Try governemnt website also, you will definately find something about project risk analysis/management.

Member for

20 years 11 months

David

The PERT calculation takes minimum(A), most likely(B) and maximum(C) durations, calculates a working duration as (A+4B+C)/6 and doing a deterministic calculation. Then the single critical path is calculated a a rang one the end dates determined from the variances of the activities making up that single path. It is a simplistic approach dating from days when risk analyses calculation were computer-intensive and therefore expensive. It is largely unnecessary now given efficient and affordable risk analysis packages - e.g. Pertmaster www.pertmaster.com and www.primaver.com.



Hope that helps

Phil